On May 8, Pres. Trump officially announced plans to withdraw the U.S. from the Iran nuclear deal. Syracuse University experts Steven Pike and Robert Murrett offer insight below:
Steven Pike
Assistant Professor, Public Relations and Public Diplomacy
S.I. Newhouse School of Public Communications
“The President’s high-stakes gamble in rejecting the Iran deal is that Iran is unwilling to bear the domestic economic and political consequences of a regional arms race and isolation from the world economy, costs that weaken its domestic legitimacy and stability. It remains to be seen whether — and how — he can get other countries to go along with that strategy and uphold a sanctions regime, and whether that will ultimately convince Iran that internal stability and prosperity is more important than regional ambitions.”
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Robert Murrett
Professor of Practice
Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs
Institute for National Security and Counterterrorism
“The days and weeks ahead will reveal the actual implications of the administration’s decision to not waive sanctions on Iran. Specifically, it is unlikely that Russia and China, or for that matter, the U.K., France and Germany (the other Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action members) will follow suit.
“Of particular interest, we will see how the global market for Iranian oil develops, as demand may not be impacted by the unilateral U.S. decision, and this will be a key economic indicator. The reaction in Tehran will also be critical, as the Iranian government may decide to continue its compliance with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, effectively turning it into a ‘P5+1, minus 1’.”
For more information, contact:
Scott McDowell
semcdowe@syr.edu
Executive Director
Regional Strategic Communications
SU Regional Offices
Syracuse University Lubin House
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